ICPAC
Early Warning for Droughts and Floods in East Africa
© OCHA
ABOUT
The Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) strengthens regional disaster risk intelligence by advancing hazard modeling, impact estimation, and event-based climate storylines for droughts and floods in Eastern Africa. Anchored in the East Africa Hazard Watch, the initiative connects ensemble prediction systems with exposure and vulnerability data to generate actionable risk narratives. Within IGAD, these insights support climate services, disaster risk management authorities, and regional coordination mechanisms in strengthening preparedness and anticipatory action.
OBJECTIVES
CRAF’d support enables ICPAC to embed event-based climate storylines and impact modeling into operational forecasting workflows and the East Africa Hazard Watch platform. The project strengthens early warning systems, informs trigger design for anticipatory action, and enhances scenario-based planning across IGAD member states. By building technical capacity and institutional uptake, it ensures that risk information directly supports regional policy coordination and timely disaster response.
CRAF'd funding enabled ICPAC to pioneer cloud-native risk monitoring, transforming petabyte-scale forecast data into operational impact-based forecasting tools serving IGAD member states.
Dr. Abdi Fidar
Director, ICPAC
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UPDATES
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FORECASTING UPGRADE
With CRAF’d support, ICPAC installed its first GPU-based system, cutting forecast times from days to hours and cloud costs by up to 50 percent. These advances help partners anticipate, prevent, and respond to floods and droughts by delivering earlier, more reliable warnings.
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DATA FOR EARLY ACTION
George Otieno of ICPAC explains how quality data powers early warning. Through CRAF’d partnership, ICPAC strengthens regional anticipatory action systems that help partners anticipate, prevent, and respond sooner, reducing risks to communities across East Africa.
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ICPAC PRESS RELEASE
ICPAC launched its CRAF’d-supported E4DRR project. It will contribute to enhanced hazard modeling, impact estimation, and climate storylines that help partners to address drought and flood risks in East Africa.
