UNHCR
Early Warning Risk Modeling of Climate-Induced Forced Displacement
© UNOCHA | Giles Clarke
ABOUT
CLIFDEW-GRID, developed by UNHCR in collaboration with the University of California Irvine, is an ambitious initiative dedicated to addressing the complex challenge of climate-induced forced displacement, including through the first risk index of its kind. This project leverages advanced data analytics and innovative approaches to empower CRAF’d ecosystem partners to anticipate and respond effectively to the growing crisis of climate-induced displacement. By forecasting subnational granularity, the project will better accommodate in-country heterogeneity than traditional country-level approaches. It will be piloted for countries in Western and Eastern Africa.
West & East Africa
$500,000
24 months
GOALS
PROVIDE
A Risk Monitor with real-time insights into evolving climate-related displacement risks to better anticipate, prevent, and respond to crises.
BUILD
A sub-national predictive model focusing to a better understand which populations are most at risk of displacement.
FACILITATE
User-centric data exploration through an open-source web interface designed for immersive data exploration and feedback collection.
OBJECTIVES
With support from CRAF'd, UNHCR will embark on a transformative journey. The CLIFDEW-GRID project aims to reshape the way CRAF’d ecosystem partners address climate-induced forced displacement, enabling them to act more precisely and effectively.
Unlike conventional approaches, the project focuses on sub-national predictive modeling, focusing on the intricate dynamics of slow-onset climate hazards at a local level. Combining UNHCR's registration data, remote sensing insights, and organic data sources will create a predictive model that anticipates displacement risks and provides a nuanced understanding of vulnerability factors.
This innovative approach promises to elevate humanitarian efforts, profoundly impacting the communities served and enhancing their resilience in the face of climate-related challenges.
100
Stakeholders that use CLIFDEW-GRID tools for anticipating and responding to climate-induced displacement.
300
Users per month that leverage CLIFDEW-GRID tools for decision-making, resource allocation and programming.
500
Participants in capacity building initiatives as part of this project.
UPDATES
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CLIMATE DATA ACTION
UNHCR's CLIFDEW-GRID Project, funded by CRAF’d, is diligently forging ahead in developing a pivotal risk index for climate-induced displacement, focusing on West and East Africa.
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DATA FOR PEACE
At the Data for Peace Conference, UNHCR introduced CLIFDEW-GRID, explaining how this CRAF’d-funded project harnesses the power of big data to anticipate climate-induced forced displacement.
CLIFDEW offers unprecedented insights into sub-national dimensions on climate and displacement, which will help shape UNHCR’s programming in key countries.
Volker Schimmel
Head of Global Data Service, UNHCR