PRIO
Violence and Impact Early Warning System- People In Need (VIEWS-PIN)
© UNOCHA | Joel Opulencia
ABOUT
Developed by the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) and Uppsala University, the Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System – People in Need (VIEWS-PIN) is an innovative research initiative that applies machine learning, advanced statistics, and big data to predict conflict-driven humanitarian needs up to three years into the future.
Set at an extension to the world-leading conflict prediction system VIEWS, VIEWS-PIN will provide monthly worldwide forecasts for the number of people in need of humanitarian assistance following exposure to conflict. Defining need as adverse changes in average income, access to water, healthcare, education, and food, VIEWS-PIN will also provide forecasts for each of these five dimensions to facilitate targeted action.
VIEWS-PIN is designed to strengthen decision-making, including resource allocation and programming, with the goal to reduce human suffering. It champions transparency and responsible data handling by providing interpretative tools and analytics to convey geographically detailed forecasts of conflict across the globe and forecasts for humanitarian needs for all Low and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs).
All LMICs
$700,000
24 months
GOALS
DEVELOP
A predictive model that helps CRAF’d partners to assess evolving humanitarian need, enhancing anticipation, prevention, and response to crises.
PROVIDE
Country-specific risk levels, identifying critical risk combinations that may lead to potential crises, enabling targeted crisis action.
FACILITATE
User-centric data exploration through an open-source web interface designed for immersive data exploration.
OBJECTIVES
With crucial CRAF'd support, VIEWS is well-positioned to reshape global humanitarian needs forecasting, enabling CRAF'd partners to reach people in fragile and crisis-affected settings earlier, faster, and in a more targeted and dignified manner. CRAF'd support is instrumental in strengthening VIEWS data infrastructure, incorporating longitudinal surveys to advance localized predictions across all Low and Middle-Income Countries. This innovative tool enhances our understanding of compound shocks, referring to the combined impact of climate hazards and conflicts, and provides geographically detailed forecasts.
10K
Datasets and analytical tools produced and publicly available.
100
Publications that feature VIEWS-PIN insights.
1K
Users that leverage VIEWS-PIN for decision-making, resource allocation, and programming.
UPDATES
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CONFLICT PREDICTION UPDATE
The Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) announced updates to the conflict prediction system for the Violence & Impacts Early Warning System (VIEWS). A webinar was hosted on 22 February to discuss the advancements made over the past 18 months.
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DATA FOR PEACE CONFERENCE
At the Data for Peace Conference, the Violence and Impact Early Warning System’s (VIEWS) team hosted a session to discuss the conflict prediction system's capability to anticipate violent events, emphasizing its critical role in providing early insights.
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NEW CONFLICT DATA RELEASE
The Violence & Impacts Early-Warning System (VIEWS) latest data forecasts are now available. They offer insights into potential conflict hotspots with both country-month and PRIO-GRID-month datasets.
Through CRAF’d, VIEWS-PIN develops improved conflict early warning and analyses of compound risks to strengthen anticipatory action, allowing earlier and more targeted allocation of resources and increased societal preparedness to cope with complex crises.
Henrik Urdal
Director, Peace Research Institute Oslo